One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Canadian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1064 | 64% | 2025-10-26 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1289 | 42% | 2023-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2023-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2023-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2020-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2016-09-08 | | Won |
| 1150 | 976 | 73% | 2015-06-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1077 | 65% | 2004-12-04 | | Won |
| 832 | 1150 | 14% | 2002-08-13 | | Won |
| 1141 | 995 | 70% | 2002-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2001-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1114.1 vs 1058.9 has a 57.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).