One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Canadian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1096 | 47% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1157 | 1107 | 57% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1005 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 933 | 1199 | 18% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1000 | 75% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1199 | 1200 | 50% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1037 | 65% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 831 | 1117 | 16% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1199 | 981 | 78% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1070 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1065.8 has a 52.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).