Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (13 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 56
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1220 | 18% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 1066 | 39% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1099 | 46% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1121 | 30% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1101 | 38% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1159 | 37% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1116 | 1101 | 52% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1343 | 14% | 2000-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1115.1 has a 41.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).