Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (13 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 56
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 1067 | 39% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1099 | 46% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1108 | 32% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1223 | 956 | 82% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1101 | 38% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1127 | 41% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1081 | 58% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1116 | 1101 | 52% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
| 1022 | 1342 | 14% | 2000-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1101.2 has a 44.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).