Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (13 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 56
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 1259 | 33% | 2020-07-12 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1099 | 46% | 2013-04-22 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2010-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-04-29 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2004-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2003-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-06-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-04-01 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1343 | 13% | 2000-11-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.2 vs 1094.8 has a 45.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).