Objective Exodus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (21 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 49
Defender wins (German): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1091 | 42% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 941 | 1056 | 34% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1220 | 22% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 952 | 73% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1099 | 967 | 68% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 1063 | 1036 | 54% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2014-01-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1220 | 26% | 2011-07-30 | Lost |
| 936 | 985 | 43% | 2011-06-30 | Won |
| 1131 | 1003 | 68% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 990 | 1003 | 48% | 2009-02-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1062 | 38% | 2006-02-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 2004-10-24 | Won |
| 1172 | 1112 | 59% | 2004-04-27 | Lost |
| 1110 | 967 | 69% | 2002-08-31 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-03-20 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1021 | 86% | 2000-11-03 | Won |
| 1263 | 1250 | 52% | 2000-05-27 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1034.3 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).