Objective Exodus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1092 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1056 | 32% | 2022-10-08 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1258 | 18% | 2022-09-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 912 | 62% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2018-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2016-07-09 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1033 | 59% | 2014-07-16 | | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2014-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1170 | 31% | 2011-07-30 | | Lost |
| 936 | 985 | 43% | 2011-06-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2010-01-15 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1056 | 40% | 2009-02-01 | | Lost |
| 980 | 1031 | 43% | 2006-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2004-10-24 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2004-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2002-08-31 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1009 | 87% | 2000-11-03 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2000-05-27 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1035 has a 49.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).