Thorne In Your Side
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (13 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1131 | 41% | 2023-11-21 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-08-30 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-10-26 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2018-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2004-11-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2004-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 832 | 86% | 2003-12-20 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2001-12-09 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2000-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2000-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1042.7 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).