A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2012-08-26 | Won |
| 1091 | 1128 | 45% | 2000-05-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1047 | 49% | 1999-10-05 | Lost |
| 1041 | 863 | 74% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1030.3 has a 55.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).