A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (7 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-08-26 | | Won |
| 1362 | 1000 | 89% | 2000-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2000-05-13 | | Lost |
| 731 | 1171 | 7% | 1999-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1184 | 26% | 1999-10-09 | | Won |
| 1065 | 1101 | 45% | 1999-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1065 | 1000 | 59% | 1998-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1079 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).