Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (27 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 77
Defender wins (German): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2025-11-06 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2025-09-16 | | Lost |
| 931 | 1136 | 24% | 2025-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1064 | 66% | 2024-06-23 | | Won |
| 949 | 1078 | 32% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1115 | 40% | 2023-12-08 | | Won |
| 1150 | 912 | 80% | 2022-11-12 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1000 | 84% | 2016-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1154 | 69% | 2015-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2014-08-23 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2009-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2009-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-08-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2005-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1018 | 87% | 2002-06-23 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2002-06-22 | | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | | Won |
| 959 | 1348 | 10% | 2000-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 959 | 90% | 2000-10-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2000-04-09 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2000-01-15 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 1999-10-21 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1028.5 has a 55.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).