Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1078 | 49% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1182 | 35% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1129 | 929 | 76% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1255 | 1186 | 60% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1255 | 1276 | 47% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1085 | 37% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 927 | 613 | 86% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1011 | 52% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1124 | 43% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1129 | 900 | 79% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1269 | 23% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1055 | 77% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 1014 | 1011 | 50% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1044.4 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).