Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1132 | 42% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 970 | 1077 | 35% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1241 | 945 | 85% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1266 | 1186 | 61% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1266 | 1264 | 50% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1090 | 40% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 1007 | 613 | 91% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1073 | 927 | 70% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 897 | 67% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1241 | 901 | 88% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 965 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1285 | 21% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1055 | 79% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 977 | 897 | 61% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1021.6 has a 56.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).