Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 878 | 58% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2025-09-16 | Lost |
| 930 | 1096 | 28% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1130 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 982 | 1078 | 37% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1224 | 917 | 85% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1256 | 1186 | 60% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1256 | 1180 | 61% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1090 | 46% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 878 | 613 | 82% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1105 | 982 | 67% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 950 | 71% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1224 | 901 | 87% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 969 | 60% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 974 | 1342 | 11% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1342 | 974 | 89% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 980 | 950 | 54% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1016.3 has a 55.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).