The Eternal City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (6 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1239 | 1170 | 60% | 2025-10-07 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1218 | 52% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-11-18 | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-08-10 | Tied |
| 1149 | 1015 | 68% | 2006-07-13 | Lost |
| 1003 | 894 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1149 vs 1058.8 has a 62.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).