Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1179 | 1004 | 73% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1238 | 1030 | 77% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2017-10-12 | Won |
| 981 | 1028 | 43% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 885 | 960 | 39% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2006-12-24 | Won |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2006-12-14 | Won |
| 1150 | 1231 | 39% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 1023 | 66% | 2000-10-07 | Won |
| 968 | 943 | 54% | 2000-01-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1133 | 40% | 2000-01-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1133 | 40% | 2000-01-14 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1180 | 42% | 2000-01-12 | Won |
| 1101 | 1021 | 61% | 1999-02-24 | Won |
| 1021 | 1113 | 37% | 1999-02-17 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1998-03-04 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1072.3 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).