Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (23 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (British): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-07-27 | | Won |
| 1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2022-11-25 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2022-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-08-22 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-12-01 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1015 | 67% | 2018-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 957 | 74% | 2017-10-12 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2016-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-01-14 | | Lost |
| 921 | 960 | 44% | 2012-01-14 | | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-02-25 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2008-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1153 | 32% | 2006-12-24 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2006-12-14 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1219 | 40% | 2006-07-15 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1022 | 66% | 2000-10-07 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2000-01-28 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1161 | 38% | 2000-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1161 | 38% | 2000-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1021 | 72% | 2000-01-12 | | Won |
| 1101 | 991 | 65% | 1999-02-24 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 1999-02-17 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 1998-03-04 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1051.2 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).