An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (25 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1014 | 71% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 1076 | 39% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 934 | 69% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 916 | 991 | 39% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1113 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1266 | 13% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 1266 | 13% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1019 | 45% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 897 | 67% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1141 | 18% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1073 | 36% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 987 | 1073 | 38% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1004 | 65% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1122 | 1116 | 51% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1056 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 1052.8 has a 43.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).