Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (Italian / German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 908 | 1076 | 28% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1021 | 81% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1033 | 50% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1310 | 16% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1069 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1033.6 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).