The Hornet of Cloville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1310 | 1068 | 80% | 2018-12-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2015-05-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 1125 | 27% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 946 | 931 | 52% | 2010-01-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2007-01-16 | Lost |
| 1025 | 952 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 918 | 994 | 39% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1110 | 54% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2004-01-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1031 | 55% | 2000-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 941 | 75% | 2000-06-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1119 | 44% | 1997-04-01 | Won |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1029.4 has a 53.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).