Point 270
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (12 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1198 | 1012 | 74% | 2020-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2015-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-12-01 | | Won |
| 1062 | 695 | 89% | 2009-08-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2006-05-27 | | Lost |
| 946 | 1060 | 34% | 2000-10-01 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 1999-02-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-06-15 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 981.2 has a 60.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).