Duel at Reuler
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 908 | 940 | 45% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 976 | 61% | 2013-08-28 | Won |
| 971 | 1051 | 39% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-10-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1077 | 53% | 2006-02-18 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 918 | 994 | 39% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-04-15 | Lost |
| 844 | 1129 | 16% | 2003-07-09 | Lost |
| 1074 | 899 | 73% | 1999-03-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1031.7 has a 47.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).