Raiders at Regi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 61
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1056 | 36% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2013-07-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 913 | 998 | 38% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1141 | 31% | 2004-10-10 | Lost |
| 925 | 1060 | 31% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2004-09-24 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1062 | 1050 | 52% | 2004-07-05 | Won |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 1999-09-15 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 1999-09-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 1999-06-21 | Lost |
| 1003 | 892 | 65% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1015.4 vs 1059.2 has a 43.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).