Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1116 | 976 | 69% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1120 | 952 | 72% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 987 | 1015 | 46% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 1015 | 1026 | 48% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1046 | 42% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1310 | 1111 | 76% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2006-01-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1100.2 vs 1025.1 has a 60.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).