Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1276 | 19% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1014 | 51% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 1015 | 49% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 943 | 1037 | 37% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1018 | 43% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 973 | 1124 | 30% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 908 | 888 | 53% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 967 | 1001 | 45% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1069 | 917 | 71% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1116 | 1098 | 53% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 952 | 65% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1132 | 1116 | 52% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 933 | 57% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 697 | 1008 | 14% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1090 | 50% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1276 | 27% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1276 | 27% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1068.3 has a 44.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).