Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1216 | 25% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 945 | 61% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 945 | 59% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 928 | 1038 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 913 | 1020 | 35% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1120 | 31% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 967 | 1023 | 42% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 917 | 62% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1167 | 1074 | 63% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 953 | 62% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1131 | 1167 | 45% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
| 1078 | 931 | 70% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 693 | 1089 | 9% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1107 | 48% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1216 | 34% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1216 | 34% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1056.1 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).