Lingèvres - Aftermath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (5 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Canadian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1067 | 45% | 2026-01-11 | Won |
| 1185 | 983 | 76% | 2025-12-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2017-12-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 935 | 70% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1102 | 37% | 2008-05-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1086.4 vs 987.4 has a 63.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).