The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1185 | 32% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 999 | 43% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1094 | 992 | 64% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 1123 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1109 | 57% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1115 | 1435 | 14% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1209 | 1048 | 72% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 920 | 1046 | 33% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1141 | 31% | 2005-11-11 | Won |
| 1215 | 1175 | 56% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1113.5 has a 39.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).