The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 936 | 920 | 52% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 955 | 959 | 49% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1069 | 992 | 61% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 927 | 898 | 54% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 1119 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1119 | 40% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1400 | 12% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1218 | 1031 | 75% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 933 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 958 | 1141 | 26% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1062.5 has a 42.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).