The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 992 | 57% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1007 | 899 | 65% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1412 | 11% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1196 | 1128 | 60% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 927 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1170 | 38% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1101.8 has a 40.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).