Thunderbolts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (4 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 994 | 61% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1031 | 52% | 2002-05-24 | Won |
| 994 | 879 | 66% | 1998-12-05 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1227 | 33% | 1997-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1032.8 has a 53.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).