Denouement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (British): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1204 | 35% | 2022-11-09 | Won |
| 996 | 1151 | 29% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2018-08-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 945 | 73% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-07-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 1151 | 55% | 1996-06-15 | Won |
| 1174 | 866 | 85% | 1996-02-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1106.9 vs 1106.5 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).