Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1090 | 64% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1018 | 71% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 941 | 77% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 903 | 955 | 43% | 2020-12-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 1082 | 985 | 64% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1281 | 1027 | 81% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1057 | 1034 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1042 | 63% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 1999-04-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 1096 | 49% | 1999-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1115.3 vs 970.5 has a 69.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).