Chateau Nebelwerfer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (9 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (American): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1024 | 52% | 2015-09-04 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1007 | 57% | 2014-10-10 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1233 | 23% | 2004-03-11 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1159 | 13% | 2002-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2000-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2000-04-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1999-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 1999-02-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1999-01-19 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1005.2 vs 1086.2 has a 38.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).