Bear Hunt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (5 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Partisan): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 992 | 52% | 2020-07-08 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1022 | 43% | 2007-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1999-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 1999-01-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1999-01-16 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 996.4 vs 1084.6 has a 37.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).