The Precious Price of Time
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (Canadian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 1178 | 1029 | 70% | 2012-08-03 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2008-11-15 | Tied |
| 1287 | 1223 | 59% | 2006-02-16 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2005-05-22 | Lost |
| 834 | 1163 | 13% | 2002-02-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 1032 | 65% | 2001-10-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-05-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-11-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1088.5 vs 1051.7 has a 55.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).