Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (3 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2024-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2005-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1024 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1144 vs 1014.3 has a 67.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).