Oriola Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1154 | 47% | 2026-03-09 | Won |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1208 | 26% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1085 | 50% | 2013-07-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1122 | 35% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1132 | 39% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1131 | 1099 | 55% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 981 | 1062 | 39% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2005-08-14 | Won |
| 994 | 1082 | 38% | 2003-06-25 | Won |
| 1384 | 1343 | 56% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1105.4 vs 1118.6 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).