Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-07-14 | | Lost |
| 949 | 780 | 73% | 2023-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2022-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2020-05-01 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2019-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2010-09-21 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1130 | 40% | 2010-06-03 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2004-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1112 | 45% | 2003-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2001-01-12 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1015.1 vs 1073.3 has a 41.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).