Down in a Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1241 | 1090 | 70% | 2022-06-29 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2020-09-21 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-01-09 | Lost |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2013-01-25 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1125 | 56% | 2010-04-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1129.2 vs 1070.3 has a 58.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).