Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (8 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-10-19 | Won |
| 1156 | 1123 | 55% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 981 | 1038 | 42% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 1085 | 48% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1188 | 49% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 1185 | 43% | 2005-07-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1121.5 has a 45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).