Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2025-10-19 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1151 | 53% | 2025-01-25 | | Tied |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2017-12-16 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2017-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1219 | 26% | 2013-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2006-09-24 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2005-09-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-07-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1064.8 has a 52.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).