Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 1110 | 33% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 967 | 66% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1175 | 994 | 74% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1075 | 58% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2017-09-17 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1235 | 61% | 2013-08-18 | Won |
| 986 | 944 | 56% | 2006-10-02 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1119 | 996 | 67% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2004-12-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2004-11-09 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1095.8 vs 1057.2 has a 55.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).