Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 9
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 930 | 62% | 2026-08-28 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1149 | 25% | 2022-09-02 | | Won |
| 1045 | 967 | 61% | 2022-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1134 | 52% | 2021-02-01 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2017-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2013-08-18 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2006-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 862 | 84% | 2006-09-30 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2005-10-02 | | Won |
| 1167 | 945 | 78% | 2005-01-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2004-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1020.1 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).