Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2025-04-24 | Lost |
| 786 | 998 | 23% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 989 | 56% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 982 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1152 | 47% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 986 | 964 | 53% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1130 | 50% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1142 | 992 | 70% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1133 | 992 | 69% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1042 | 1039 | 50% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1131 | 1038 | 63% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1138 | 67% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 971 | 52% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 834 | 885 | 43% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 991 | 52% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1434 | 994 | 93% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1231 | 987 | 80% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1003 | 60% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 917 | 982 | 41% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 966 | 1108 | 31% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1107 | 37% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1070 | 994 | 61% | 2009-08-28 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1054 | 73% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1208 | 26% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1244 | 984 | 82% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1065 | 65% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
| 1224 | 1070 | 71% | 2006-02-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1070 | 34% | 2006-01-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 1140 | 34% | 2005-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1055.9 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).