Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (30 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (Polish): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 988 | 54% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 940 | 937 | 50% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 946 | 1220 | 17% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 904 | 1131 | 21% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 904 | 1131 | 21% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1002 | 68% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1027 | 998 | 54% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 890 | 71% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1071 | 941 | 68% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1071 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1044 | 44% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1192 | 40% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1149 | 1141 | 51% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1180 | 58% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 866 | 1159 | 16% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 995 | 1003 | 49% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1137 | 43% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1093 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1149 | 50% | 2006-08-04 | Won |
| 982 | 971 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1053 | 66% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1141 | 35% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1175 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1071.4 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).