Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (30 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (Polish): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 966 | 54% | 2025-05-09 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-03-20 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-09-26 | | Won |
| 946 | 1200 | 19% | 2023-06-25 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1098 | 25% | 2023-02-15 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1098 | 25% | 2022-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 780 | 81% | 2021-01-20 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1002 | 68% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1035 | 48% | 2019-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2019-01-11 | | Won |
| 1057 | 891 | 72% | 2017-04-18 | | Won |
| 1071 | 927 | 70% | 2013-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-05-17 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1187 | 41% | 2012-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2011-09-24 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1151 | 26% | 2010-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2010-08-07 | | Tied |
| 866 | 1134 | 18% | 2010-01-24 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1056 | 41% | 2009-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1136 | 54% | 2007-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2007-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1151 | 50% | 2006-08-04 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2005-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2005-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1053 | 71% | 2005-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1141 | 34% | 2005-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 1215 | 32% | | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1059.5 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).