Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (28 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (Polish): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1026 | 39% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 941 | 937 | 51% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 946 | 1194 | 19% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 904 | 1118 | 23% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 904 | 1118 | 23% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1003 | 68% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1065 | 43% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 891 | 71% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1071 | 941 | 68% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1071 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1046 | 47% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1192 | 37% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1149 | 1140 | 51% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1179 | 60% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 866 | 1173 | 15% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 995 | 1027 | 45% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1137 | 45% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 972 | 51% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1053 | 73% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1140 | 35% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
| 1032 | 1171 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1069.3 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).