To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (15 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1143 | 49% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1023 | 965 | 58% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1028 | 71% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 1026 | 998 | 54% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1007 | 1027 | 47% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
| 1298 | 1064 | 79% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
| 1071 | 939 | 68% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
| 1027 | 1031 | 49% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 1015 | 1058 | 44% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-02-04 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1003 | 79% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1221 | 29% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1229 | 15% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1063.5 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).