To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (14 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 996 | 54% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1027 | 67% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 950 | 997 | 43% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1023 | 1037 | 48% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
| 1297 | 1063 | 79% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 939 | 68% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
| 1037 | 1031 | 51% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 1016 | 1061 | 44% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2008-02-04 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1003 | 73% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
| 1053 | 1221 | 28% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1178 | 20% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1056.6 has a 46.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).