Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-02-12 | | Won |
| 966 | 994 | 46% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 966 | 891 | 61% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2023-04-19 | | Won |
| 1226 | 975 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | | Won |
| 1044 | 930 | 66% | 2018-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-06-22 | | Tied |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-06-21 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 992.9 has a 56.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).