Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-02-12 | | Won |
| 981 | 994 | 48% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 981 | 891 | 63% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2023-04-19 | | Won |
| 1226 | 975 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | | Won |
| 1064 | 930 | 68% | 2018-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-06-22 | | Tied |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-06-21 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 983.1 has a 59.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).