Our Place in the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Italian / Eritrean): 1
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1213 | 15% | 2026-08-31 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1000 | 40% | 2022-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 900 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 967 vs 1037.7 has a 39.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).