Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 993 | 56% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 917 | 1010 | 37% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 825 | 905 | 39% | 2011-07-14 | Won |
| 693 | 1089 | 9% | 2009-10-17 | Won |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1151 | 36% | 2005-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 929.3 vs 1035.6 has a 35.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).