The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 918 | 903 | 52% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1128 | 57% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 903 | 1152 | 19% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1251 | 1210 | 56% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1174 | 29% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 954.3 vs 1096.9 has a 30.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).