The Clog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-04-29 | Lost |
| 941 | 1045 | 35% | 2011-03-13 | Lost |
| 904 | 904 | 50% | 2009-08-06 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1147 | 63% | 2008-09-28 | Lost |
| 904 | 1140 | 20% | 2008-09-20 | Won |
| 1250 | 1180 | 60% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-03-17 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1236 | 21% | 2006-04-28 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 969.5 vs 1094.5 has a 32.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).