The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-07-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1258 | 18% | 2019-06-20 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-06-20 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2019-06-20 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1007 | 66% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1055 | 39% | 2017-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2016-05-07 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1141 | 50% | 2010-10-03 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1141 | 30% | 2007-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1122 | 55% | 2004-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 1994-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 832 | 1086 | 19% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1066.5 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).