Before Nightfall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (6 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
940 | 998 | 42% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
1126 | 986 | 69% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
971 | 963 | 51% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
1098 | 936 | 72% | 2011-11-22 | Won |
1098 | 1068 | 54% | 2004-08-18 | Won |
1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1019.2 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).