Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 161 (35 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 76
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 897 | 1095 | 24% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 768 | 970 | 24% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 993 | 925 | 60% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 1310 | 15% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1310 | 15% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 978 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1199 | 842 | 89% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1089 | 29% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 931 | 63% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1058 | 1070 | 48% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1073 | 80% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1080 | 35% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1062 | 53% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1141 | 1117 | 53% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1073 | 51% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1017 | 984 | 55% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 1029 | 51% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1412 | 1084 | 87% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1310 | 917 | 91% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1412 | 1310 | 64% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1412 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1310 | 18% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1051 | 82% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 901 | 91% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 928 | 982 | 42% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 985 | 1241 | 19% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1065 | 59% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1041 | 46% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1082.1 vs 1061.9 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).