House of Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (13 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 39
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 950 | 53% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 930 | 60% | 2016-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1120 | 64% | 2015-12-29 | | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2015-05-10 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1101 | 57% | 2005-04-28 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2005-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2004-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1076 | 62% | 2002-09-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-03-05 | | Won |
| 866 | 1074 | 23% | 1998-05-31 | | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1997-12-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1035.5 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).