Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (8 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 981 | 70% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 913 | 1061 | 30% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 1088 | 35% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 929 | 1029 | 36% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1150 | 24% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1150 | 977 | 73% | 2011-09-12 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1150 | 54% | 2011-08-30 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1070.5 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).