Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 999 | 56% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 919 | 1058 | 31% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 1088 | 35% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 962 | 1029 | 40% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 883 | 1109 | 21% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 977 | 68% | 2011-09-12 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1109 | 62% | 2011-08-30 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1140 | 55% | 2006-11-04 | Lost |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2005-06-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1073 | 60% | 2001-07-01 | Lost |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2000-05-26 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1263 | 1149 | 66% | 1997-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1012 vs 1080.9 has a 40.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).