Down Radio Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (12 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1120 | 47% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1023 | 57% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 878 | 1068 | 25% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1012 | 57% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1173 | 68% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2009-01-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 945 | 63% | 2008-11-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1196 | 32% | 2008-05-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2008-05-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1140 | 38% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091 vs 1038 has a 57.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).