Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1206 | 1015 | 75% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 884 | 55% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1172 | 826 | 88% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
| 947 | 1121 | 27% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1030 | 74% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1005 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 890 | 71% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
| 1019 | 1140 | 33% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
| 962 | 1085 | 33% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1108 | 37% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1430 | 7% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1085 | 890 | 75% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1044.9 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).