Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 927 | 52% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
1141 | 870 | 83% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
1141 | 978 | 72% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
952 | 1120 | 28% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
1141 | 1021 | 67% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
1110 | 1047 | 59% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
867 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
1044 | 882 | 72% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
1018 | 1123 | 35% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
960 | 1074 | 34% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
1011 | 1025 | 48% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
1008 | 1400 | 9% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
1074 | 882 | 75% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1033.4 has a 51.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).