Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 993 | 42% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 842 | 88% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
| 952 | 1141 | 25% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1048 | 57% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 913 | 68% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1064 | 43% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
| 961 | 1073 | 34% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
| 897 | 1023 | 33% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
| 992 | 1412 | 8% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 913 | 72% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1021.6 has a 53.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).