Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 918 | 62% | 2025-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 852 | 70% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1011 | 54% | 2023-10-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1104 | 35% | 2020-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1162 | 1055 | 65% | 2016-12-30 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1052 | 32% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 895 | 73% | 2009-12-31 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2009-11-03 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1095 | 32% | 2008-03-09 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-03-09 | | Won |
| 993 | 1314 | 14% | 2006-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 895 | 76% | 2006-09-21 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1017.3 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).