Caught Napping
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1400 | 15% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1113 | 46% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 1191 | 36% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1178 | 49% | | Won |
| 1178 | 1168 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1124.3 vs 1161.6 has a 44.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).