Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1017 | 55% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 972 | 964 | 51% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 1044 | 32% | 2017-01-27 | Won |
| 1143 | 891 | 81% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 934 | 78% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
| 934 | 1158 | 22% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 891 | 81% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 904 | 1097 | 25% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 891 | 984 | 37% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1034 | 80% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1328 | 24% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
| 1200 | 834 | 89% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 934 | 904 | 54% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1058 | 51% | 1999-08-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
| 872 | 1028 | 29% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1022.1 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).