Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1018 | 54% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1082 | 964 | 66% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 851 | 1139 | 16% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 916 | 1081 | 28% | 2017-01-27 | Won |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 975 | 76% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
| 975 | 1174 | 24% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 905 | 1103 | 24% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 991 | 984 | 51% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1036 | 78% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1252 | 32% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
| 1201 | 830 | 89% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 975 | 902 | 60% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
| 1073 | 1103 | 46% | 1999-08-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
| 872 | 1045 | 27% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1038.4 has a 50.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).