Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1018 | 57% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 983 | 968 | 52% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 853 | 1158 | 15% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 934 | 1038 | 35% | 2017-01-27 | Won |
| 1190 | 994 | 76% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1190 | 994 | 76% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 905 | 1087 | 26% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 994 | 1021 | 46% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
| 1272 | 1029 | 80% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1303 | 26% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
| 936 | 1009 | 40% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
| 1155 | 1121 | 55% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 958 | 905 | 58% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
| 1064 | 1046 | 53% | 1999-08-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
| 872 | 1026 | 29% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1032.7 vs 1044.9 has a 48.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).