First and Goal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (4 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1082 | 50% | 2005-11-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1187 | 43% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 1997-01-21 | Won |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1005 vs 1158.8 has a 29.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).