Hana-Saku
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (14 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 26
Defender wins (Canadian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 931 | 59% | 2019-09-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1004 | 63% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1159 | 30% | 2009-09-05 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-07-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1031 | 56% | 2005-12-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 931 | 61% | 2004-01-27 | Lost |
| 901 | 1069 | 28% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1046.2 has a 47.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).