The Witch's Cauldron
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1116 | 53% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1140 | 47% | 2019-01-27 | Won |
| 979 | 1283 | 15% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1058 | 68% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1126 | 891 | 79% | 2014-09-26 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-03-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1068 | 56% | 1999-01-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1085.4 vs 1071.5 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).