One-Log Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (16 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 58
Defender wins (Japanese): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2016-01-06 | Won |
| 864 | 992 | 32% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 1043 | 56% | 2012-10-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1125 | 41% | 2010-05-21 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1060 | 59% | 2010-04-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1091 | 42% | 2008-05-03 | Lost |
| 992 | 1041 | 43% | 2004-10-29 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2003-04-07 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2003-04-07 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1060 | 42% | 2000-01-23 | Won |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-12-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | | Won |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | | Won |
| 937 | 1039 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 986.9 vs 1078.3 has a 37.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).